private ArrayList<String> getFinalEstimation() {
class ResultSet {
String method;
double est;
double low;
double high;
double gap;
}
ArrayList<String> texts = new ArrayList<String>();
ResultSet[] rs = new ResultSet[7];
for (int i = 0; i < 7; i++) {
rs[i] = new ResultSet();
}
// result of distribution
rs[0].method = "1 Month Simple";
rs[0].est = marketAnalyzer.getAvg1MSPSqft();
rs[0].low =
rs[0].est
- marketAnalyzer.getStd1MSPSqft() * 1.96 / Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1M());
rs[0].high =
rs[0].est
+ marketAnalyzer.getStd1MSPSqft() * 1.96 / Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1M());
rs[0].gap = rs[0].high - rs[0].low;
rs[1].method = "6 Months Simple";
rs[1].est = marketAnalyzer.getAvg6MSPSqft();
rs[1].low =
rs[1].est
- marketAnalyzer.getStd6MSPSqft() * 1.96 / Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter6M());
rs[1].high =
rs[1].est
+ marketAnalyzer.getStd6MSPSqft() * 1.96 / Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter6M());
rs[1].gap = rs[1].high - rs[1].low;
rs[2].method = "1 Year Simple";
rs[2].est = marketAnalyzer.getAvg1YSPSqft();
rs[2].low =
rs[2].est
- marketAnalyzer.getStd1YSPSqft() * 1.96 / Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1Y());
rs[2].high =
rs[2].est
+ marketAnalyzer.getStd1YSPSqft() * 1.96 / Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1Y());
rs[2].gap = rs[2].high - rs[2].low;
// result of regression
if (reg6M.count > 2) {
rs[3].method = "6 Months Regression";
rs[3].est = reg6M.getY0();
rs[3].low = rs[3].est - reg6M.getCi(reg6M.getX0());
rs[3].high = rs[3].est + reg6M.getCi(reg6M.getX0());
rs[3].gap = rs[3].high - rs[3].low;
} else {
rs[3].method = "";
rs[3].est = 0;
rs[3].low = 0;
rs[3].high = 0;
rs[3].gap = 999999999;
}
if (reg1Y.count > 2) {
rs[4].method = "1 Year Regression";
rs[4].est = reg1Y.getY0();
rs[4].low = rs[4].est - reg1Y.getCi(reg1Y.getX0());
rs[4].high = rs[4].est + reg1Y.getCi(reg1Y.getX0());
rs[4].gap = rs[4].high - rs[4].low;
} else {
rs[4].method = "";
rs[4].est = 0;
rs[4].low = 0;
rs[4].high = 0;
rs[4].gap = 999999999;
}
rs[5].method = "6 Months Extrapolation";
rs[5].est = marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultPrice6M();
rs[5].low =
rs[5].est
- marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultStd6M()
* 1.96
/ Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter6M());
rs[5].high =
rs[5].est
+ marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultStd6M()
* 1.96
/ Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter6M());
rs[5].gap = rs[5].high - rs[5].low;
rs[6].method = "1 Year Extrapolation";
rs[6].est = marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultPrice1Y();
rs[6].low =
rs[6].est
- marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultStd1Y()
* 1.96
/ Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1Y());
rs[6].high =
rs[6].est
+ marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultStd1Y()
* 1.96
/ Math.sqrt(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1Y());
rs[6].gap = rs[6].high - rs[6].low;
for (int i = 0; i < 7; i++) {
for (int j = 0; j < 7; j++) {
if (rs[i].gap < rs[j].gap) {
ResultSet rsTemp = rs[i];
rs[i] = rs[j];
rs[j] = rsTemp;
}
}
}
for (int i = 0; i < 7; i++) {
if (Double.isNaN(rs[i].est)) {
} else {
texts.add(rs[i].method);
texts.add(Formater.toCurrency(rs[i].est));
texts.add(Formater.toCurrency(rs[i].low));
texts.add(Formater.toCurrency(rs[i].high));
}
}
// If more than 10 data points in the recent time interval
// if (marketAnalyzer.getCounter1M() >= 10) {
// textFinalEst1M.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getAvg1MSPSqft()));
// lblEstReason.setText("Enough data recently\nand average the result");
// }
// else if (marketAnalyzer.getCounter6M() >= 30) {
// textFinalEst1M.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getReg6MSPSqft().getY0()));
// lblEstReason.setText("Use 6-month regression");
// }
// else if (marketAnalyzer.getCounter1Y() >= 50) {
// textFinalEst1M.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getReg1YSPSqft().getY0()));
// lblEstReason.setText("Use 1-year regression");
// }
// else {
// textFinalEst1M.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultPrice6M()));
// lblEstReason.setText("Not enough data.\nUse extrapolation");
// }
return texts;
}
/**
* @param status status 0 means search button is clicked status 1 menas redo button is clicked
* @throws Exception The event when the search button or redo button is clicked
*/
private void searchClickEvent(int status) throws Exception {
if (status == 0) { // If search button is clicked
String str = new String();
str = getSqlStmtForMLX(); // New SQL statement according to search criteria defined
System.out.println(str);
// Search from database and generate CSV result
marketAnalyzer = new MarketAnalyzer(str);
// Initialize the MarketAnalyzer with the SQL statement defined
// A new ResultSet will be generated
} else if (status == 1) { // If redo button is clicked
// do nothing, use the old marketAnalyzer
}
Addition addition = new Addition();
int bchmkIndex = comboBchmkIndex.getSelectionIndex();
if (bchmkIndex == 0 || bchmkIndex == -1) {
addition.indexName = "caseshiller";
} else if (bchmkIndex == 1) {
addition.indexName = "zillow";
}
// Calculate average prices
marketAnalyzer.doAnalysis(addition);
text1MAvg.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getAvg1MSPSqft()));
text6MAvg.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getAvg6MSPSqft()));
text1YAvg.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getAvg1YSPSqft()));
text1MStd.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getStd1MSPSqft()));
text6MStd.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getStd6MSPSqft()));
text1YStd.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getStd1YSPSqft()));
text1MCounter.setText(new Integer(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1M()).toString());
text6MCounter.setText(new Integer(marketAnalyzer.getCounter6M()).toString());
text1YCounter.setText(new Integer(marketAnalyzer.getCounter1Y()).toString());
// Calculate Price-Index regression
reg1M = marketAnalyzer.getReg1MSPSqft();
reg6M = marketAnalyzer.getReg6MSPSqft();
reg1Y = marketAnalyzer.getReg1YSPSqft();
text1MRegA.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg1M.getA(), 3));
text1MRegB.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg1M.getB(), 3));
text1MRegR.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg1M.getR2(), 3));
textRegPrice1M.setText(Formater.toCurrency(reg1M.getY0()));
text6MRegA.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg6M.getA(), 3));
text6MRegB.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg6M.getB(), 3));
text6MRegR.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg6M.getR2(), 3));
textRegPrice6M.setText(Formater.toCurrency(reg6M.getY0()));
System.out.println(reg6M.getR2());
text1YRegA.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg1Y.getA(), 3));
text1YRegB.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg1Y.getB(), 3));
text1YRegR.setText(Formater.toShortDouble(reg1Y.getR2(), 3));
System.out.println(reg1Y.getR2());
textRegPrice1Y.setText(Formater.toCurrency(reg1Y.getY0()));
text1MExtpoPrice.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultPrice1M()));
text6MExtpoPrice.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultPrice6M()));
text1YExtpoPrice.setText(Formater.toCurrency(marketAnalyzer.getExtpoResultPrice1Y()));
ArrayList<String> finalEstText = new ArrayList<String>();
finalEstText = getFinalEstimation();
updateMiddlePanel(finalEstText);
}
